Self Evaluation of GTZ Grameen Bank Replication Project
David Gibbons

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As of end 1997, the following six Grameen Bank replications (GBRs)  were reaching a total of 34,619 poor households in three countries of Asia, with financial services for poverty reduction: in the Philippines, ASHI, Dungganon, CARD; in India, Nirdhan and SHARE; and Indonesia, MKEJ. Assuming an average household size of five, this means that a total of more than 173,000 poor people were benefiting from their financial services.
  
 Focus 

Self-evaluation of six projects  

Microlenders and Wall Street 
 

Five years ago, in 1993, when the first funds were received from GTZ through GT for scaling-up, when only 5 of the GBRs were in existence and the other, MKEJ, had just received its seed capital, they were reaching only 9,815 poor households, or about 50,000 poor people. As impressive as the growth in their outreach to the poor has been, however, a main point of this synthesis paper is that it could have been much greater if funding had not been a constraint. This is supported by the identical rank orders of total funds mobilized and total outreach to the poor, given below. 

In terms of reduction of poverty there is no doubt that the cumulative impact of the six GBRs has been substantial. Funding from GTZ has played a critical role in bringing this about. Initially it financed partially, but importantly, the start-up of three of the six: Mitra Karya East Java (MKEJ), SHARE and Nirdhan West Bengal. Subsequently management development workshops to build the institutional capacity of these and other GBRs were financed partially by GTZ funds through the Trust. Then, in an important policy change in early 1991, GTZ proposed that its start-up funds could be used also for scaling-up existing small, but successful GBRs. Four of the six GBRs: Dungganon, CARD, ASHI and Nirdhan, plus TSPI of the Philippines, benefited eventually from this important initiative policy change on the part of the Grameen Trust, in September of 1994, to concentrate its scaling-up funds, including those from GTZ, on the attainment of financially-viable branches. 

The four basic concerns of the GBR self-evaluations are: 
1. The process of setting-up and expanding a poverty reduction program through microfinance understanding the difficulties involved, the possible ways to overcome them, and the success factors involved. 
2. The role of adequate financial and non-financial support in this process, learning from the benefits, the constraints and difficulties you experienced in relation with your supporters in order to improve such support to better suit your needs. 
3. The progress you have made toward institutional viability in providing your services related with the qualitative impact reached on the level of poor households, and to understand what factors promote and hinder viability of MFIs. 
4. The various adaptations/innovations which you generated since the start-up of your GBR. 
Data are taken from the Self-evaluation Reports as well as from the personal knowledge of Assoc. Prof. Sukor Kasim and Prof. Gibbons and from the experience of the Seremban Self-evaluation Workshop (January 1998). In addition, the statistical information requested from each GBR is presented and analyzed in a comparative way. 

GTZ funding, through the Grameen Trust, while small in relation to the total funding of the six GBRs, was significant in its timing as it enabled three of the six GBRs to start their operations and the other to scale-up when no other donor was interested. 

The synthesis report is prepared from the GBR Self-evaluation Reports and the Seremban Workshop 

The Process of Successful replication 
All six GBRs have replicated the essentials of the Grameen Bank methodology successfully, although not without major difficulties. Variations among them in microfinance methodology are not many, but some may be significant such as CARD's higher poverty-line and higher average loan outstanding. The main difficulty of all GBRs was shortage of funds. These shortages were more serious for some, e.g. Dungganon and ASHI, than for others; but still it was the most serious problem faced by each GBR. Each GBR was affected somewhat differently by its fund shortage. However, all survived their fund shortage crisis and are now expanding again. Each GBR was successful in its own way in raising additional funds. 

Another common problem has been lack of a suitable legal status for microfinance institutions working with the poor in general and for mobilizing savings from them, in particular. In Philippines, Indonesia and India it is, strictly speaking, illegal for NGOs and projects to mobilize savings from the public. Only CARD has solved this problem by getting a license as a rural bank. Yet the remaining five GBRs still take savings deposits from their “members”. Central Banks in the three countries either don't know about these activities or are “closing their eyes” to them. This is not a sustainable solution. A microfinance institution that cannot maximize its savings mobilization is like a one-legged-man. It needs a crutch, i.e. subsidized funds, to limp along. Limitations of leadership were experienced by at least two of the GBRs: ASHI and Nirdhan. The relatively small outreach of both programs is partly a result of these leadership problems. Happily, they have been overcome and both programs now have effective leadership. 

Financial & non-financial support 
As fund shortage has been the major problem of each GBR, it must be concluded that financial support has been inadequate. This is not surprising as the international replicability of the GB methodology was not yet widely known in 1994/95 when most of the GBRs were seeking additional funding. However, finding ways of increasing financial support is vital for the further outreach and institutional financial sustainability of these GBRs and for the successful establishment of additional ones. The GBRs suggest that funding should be a "package" to institutional financial viability, with payments dependent upon the meeting of performance targets. With respect to non-financial support, the main limitation, according to the GBRs has been shortage of places in and finance for GT’s Branch and Area Manager training programs. CASHPOR feels that it has not been able to provide effective training in the more sophisticated areas of financial management, e.g., fund management, institutional financial analysis and the setting of appropriate interest rates. 

GBR impact and financial sustainability  
In terms of quantitative impact, i.e., number of poor households (active borrowers) reached by the loan scheme as of 31.12.87, the six GBRs rank as follows: Dungganon (10,031), CARD (9,909), SHARE (5815), ASHI (4,385), MKEJ (2,549) and Nirdhan (1930). Concerning cumulative average loans disbursed per active loan client, the ranking changes further to: CARD (US$553), ASHI ($252), Dungganon ($200), MKEJ ($123), SHARE ($105), and Nirdhan ($100). 

There is, therefore, considerable variation among the GBRs in terms of scope and depth of outreach, but nevertheless a significant amount of microcredit has been disbursed by all of the GBRs. Only CARD has had an independent, professional impact evaluation study, the results of which are very positive. 

Progress on institutional financial viability also varies considerably among the GBRs, However it is significant that all GBRs are now talking about it in similar language. Measured in terms of institutional operational sustainability at the end of 1996, they rank as follows: MKEJ (1.0), CARD (0.74), Dungganon (0.51), SHARE (0.44), ASHI (0.42),and Nirdhan (0.26), For September, 1997 MKEJ still reports 1.0, while CARD had reached 0.95; and Dungganon 0.72; whereas by November 1997 SHARE had dropped to 0.4., due to heavy start-up costs of expansion. 

It can be concluded that there is no necessary trade-off between lending to the poor and the poorest on the one hand and institutional financial viability on the other.